Friday, December 13, 2013
  A Special Project with the New America Foundation
   
        Three Polio Workers Killed in Pakistan; Karzai Begins Visit to India; BJP Refuses to Form Delhi Government									
	     
    Pakistan  
  Attacks on polio teams  kill three  
  Unidentified gunmen attacked two separate polio vaccination  teams operating in northwestern Pakistan on Friday, killing one vaccination  worker and two police guards (AP,  Dawn,  ET).  According to police, the first incident took place in Swabi in Khyber  Pakhtunkhwa province, where two policemen were killed as they headed to provide  security for a local polio vaccination team (BBC, RFE/RL).  Several hours later, a gunman killed a vaccination worker who was on his way  home after vaccinating children in Jamrud, on the outskirts of Peshawar. No one  has claimed responsibility for either incident.   
  The attacks came one day after Dr. Akhtar Hussain, the head  of the World Health Organization's polio eradication office, announced the  agency had started a three-day inoculation campaign in Pakistan's tribal region  (RFE/RL).  Hussain said the campaign hopes to vaccinate around 727,000 children under the  age of 5 by Sunday. While a leading Islamic cleric with ties to the Pakistani  Taliban recently  issued a fatwa saying the anti-polio drops were legitimate and Islamic,  Pakistani officials said vaccination teams would not visit some areas in North  and South Waziristan because of security concerns. Pakistan is one of three  countries in the world where the poliovirus is still endemic.  
  Afridi lawyer flees  Pakistan  
  Samiullah Afridi, the lawyer for Dr. Shakil Afridi (no  relation) -- a Pakistani doctor who was recruited by the CIA to launch a  vaccination drive in Abbottabad that many incorrectly believe led to  information about Osama bin Laden and is currently in a Pakistani jail -- fled  Pakistan this week after receiving death threats (BBC, RFE/RL).  Coworkers and relatives confirmed that he had left the country on Wednesday,  fearing for his life. Afridi is the second member of the doctor's legal team to  flee the country, and his departure comes just days before a ruling that will  determine whether or not Afridi will face a new trial. Dr. Afridi was convicted  in May 2012 for allegedly having links to a banned militant organization in  Pakistan, a sentence he is appealing; he is also facing murder charges related  to the death of a patient in 2005.  
  Military convoy hit by  roadside bomb  
  At least four Pakistani soldiers were killed and five were  wounded in the village of Spinwam in North Waziristan on Friday when their  convoy struck a roadside bomb (RFE/RL).  No one has claimed responsibility for the incident, but authorities have blamed  the Pakistani Taliban for similar attacks, as North Waziristan is one of their  strongholds in the country's tribal regions.   
  Afghanistan   
  Karzai arrives in  India  
  Afghan President Hamid Karzai arrived in New Delhi on  Thursday for a four-day official visit to India (RFE/RL).  Karzai is expected to meet with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Foreign  Minister Salman Khurshid, and other Indian officials. He will also address a  conference titled "India and Development Partnerships in Asia and Africa:  Towards a New Paradigm" at Symbiosis International University, according to a  statement released by the presidential palace (Pajhwok).  Media reports said that Karzai is seeking Indian support and military aid as  foreign forces prepare to withdraw from Afghanistan at the end of next year. In  particular, he is looking for military helicopter, tanks, and artillery for the  Afghan security forces (NDTV,  Reuters).    
  While U.S.  officials told reporters in Washington on Wednesday that both Pakistan and  India agreed on the need for a  continued U.S. presence in Afghanistan and that Karzai's visit to India  could be "quite  influential," Karzai told India's NDTV on Friday that he would not be  "intimidated" or coerced into signing the Bilateral Security Agreement that  would leave thousands of U.S. troops in the country after the NATO combat  mission ends next year (Pajhwok).  According to Karzai, "We are not a nation known for giving into intimidation"  and "We will sign it when we will [be] sure that our signature will bring peace  and security."   
  Number confusion in  the U.S.   
  Reports emerged on Thursday that at a House Foreign Affairs  Committee hearing on Wednesday, none of the witnesses could say how much the  United States was spending on an annual basis in Afghanistan or how many  service members had been killed or wounded in the last 12 months (WSJ,  Washington  Times). When pressed by Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA), James Dobbins, the  special envoy to Afghanistan and  Pakistan, Donald Sampler, the assistant to the administrator at the U.S. Agency  for International Development, and Michael Dumont, the deputy assistant  secretary of defense for Afghanistan, Pakistan and Central Asia, said they would  have to get back to him. Rohrabacher called the admission "disheartening,"  while Rep. Gerald Connolly (D-VA) said he was stunned by the lack of oversight.  On Tuesday, the Associated Press reported that at least 2,153 U.S. soldiers had  died in the war in Afghanistan, but did not provide a year-by-year breakdown (AP).   
  Meanwhile, John F. Sopko, the special inspector general for  Afghanistan reconstruction (SIGAR), is  investigating the G222 aircraft program and how the U.S. military spent  nearly $500 million dollars to provide 20 refurbished planes to the Afghan Air  Force that are now sitting on airfields in Afghanistan and Germany and may be  scrapped in the future (FOX  News). Started in 2008, the program was shut down last year after officials  determined that Finmeccanica SpA's  Alenia Aermacchi North America unit, the contractor responsible for building  the planes, did a poor job getting the necessary spare parts needed to keep the  planes flying. The SIGAR investigation will examine the decision to provide  planes Lt. Gen. Charles Davis, the top acquisition officer in the U.S. Air  Force, recently  said weren't right for the hot, dusty environment.  
  ***   
  On the catwalk   
  While Pakistan's fashion designers may be helping the  country shed its "bombs and burqas" image, they are quick to dismiss any claims  that they are doing so to fight extremism in the country (AFP).  According to Kamiar Rokni, "We're not. We're doing this for the business of  fashion!" Though certain precautions, like never disclosing the location of a  fashion show in advance, are taken, the country's fashion industry has grown in  the last few years, with shows being held regularly in Lahore and Karachi and  attracting foreign buyers. The garments, which often feature gold thread,  beads, and seed pearls, are adding variety to an old "clone culture" of white salwar kameezes.   
  -- Bailey Cahall   
  India  
  AAP invited to form  Delhi government after BJP refuses   
  The impasse over the formation of a government in the state  of Delhi continued this week as BJP Chief Ministerial candidate Harsh  Vardhan met with Lt. Gov. Najeeb Jung on Friday, but refused to form a  government until the party won a clear majority in a fresh round of elections (Economic  Times, Times  of India). The BJP won 31 of 70  seats in the recent assembly elections, five seats short of a majority. Jung  now hopes to meet with the Aam Admi Party's Arvind Kejriwal on Saturday, as the party holds  the second-highest number of seats.  
  Speaking to the press about the invitation to form the  government, Kejriwal said he would reveal the party's strategy after meeting  with Jung, but would not resort to "deal making on government formation" (NDTV). In such a scenario, it is likely that Jung  will ask that the President's Rule be enforced in the state until new elections  are held. Under Article 356 of the Indian Constitution, President's Rule  empowers the state's governor to take charge of administrative affairs under  the central government's directive. Elections are likely to be held, along with  national elections to India's parliament, in May.   
  Lokpal Bill introduced  in Upper House, adjourned almost immediately  
  The Lokpal Bill, introducing anti-corruption ombudsmen, was  tabled in the Upper House of India's Parliament on Friday, amid much protest by  members from the Samajwadi Party and the Telegu Desam Party. Following the  uproar, the house was adjourned until Friday afternoon; Saturday's session was  also cancelled when the protests continued (Indian  Express, Times  of India). The Samajwadi Party  has expressed its displeasure at not being consulted before the bill was  introduced, and has stated it will support a "no-confidence motion" by the  Telegu Desam Party over the formation of Telangana, a new Indian state. When a no-confidence motion is  introduced, the ruling party or coalition has to prove it holds a majority  membership in parliament's Lower House to continue its mandate to form the  government. Failing this, the parliament is dissolved and elections are held.   
  Meanwhile, the Lok  Sabha (lower house) was unable to conduct business for the fifth straight  day on Friday after a raucous discussion over the government's non-intervention  in removing a former Supreme Court judge accused of sexually harassing his  former intern from his position as a human rights commissioner. According to a  study by the think tank PRS India, the Indian Parliament lost 36 percent of its  productive time to disruptions in 2012 (PRS).  
  New economic data  points to stagflation  
  India experienced both a downturn in industrial production  and rising inflation in this fall, casting doubt on a seemingly incipient  recovery in the world's third-largest economy. Industrial output contracted for the first time in four months in  October, falling a steeper-than-expected 1.8 percent from last year, while  retail inflation jumped to 11.24 percent in November, up from 10.17 percent in  October, according to separate data release on Thursday (Times  of India, WSJ). Inflation, which was driven by a 61.6  percent increase over last year in the price of vegetables, adds pressure on  India's central bank to raise interest rates when it announces its policy  review on Dec. 18 (Economic  Times). The Reserve Bank of India has already raised the country's key  lending rate twice in recent months.   
  India ranks fifth  globally in illicit capital flows  
  India exported roughly $344 billion in illicit capital flows  between 2001 and 2011, ranking it fifth among developing countries after China,  Russia, Mexico and Malaysia, according to a report by Global  Financial Integrity (GFI), a research and advocacy organization (WSJ). In 2012 alone, more than $64 billion in  illicit money was illegally taken out of India, up 24 percent from the previous  year and equivalent to nearly one-third of the Indian government's budgeted  expenditure, according to the Times  of India (Times  of India). GFI estimates illicit  flows by analyzing changes in external debt and trading mispricing; nearly all  of India's illicit outflows were carried out through trade mispricing, the  discrepancy between the value of goods when exported and when recorded as  imports at their final destination.  
  Man on the move  
  On his current visit to India, Shahbaz Sharif, the chief  minister of Pakistan's Punjab province and brother of Pakistani Prime Minister  Nawaz Sharif, joined 2.6 million travelers as he rode Delhi's metro (NDTV).  The three-stop ride along Delhi's Yellow line occurred during off-peak times  and was followed by a briefing on the transportation system. Sharif joins Britain's  Prince Charles and Japan's Shinzo Abe in riding Delhi's metro, one of the  fastest growing urban transportation systems in the world.   
  -- Shruti Jagirdar and  Ana Swanson  
  A Majeed/AFP/Getty Images
    
  
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